Elective stock and scrip dividends

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Stock Prices, Earnings, and Expected Dividends

Long historical averages of real earnings help forecast present values of future real dividends. With aggregate U.S. stock market data (1871-1986), a vector-autoregressive forecast of the present value of future dividends is, for each year, roughly a weighted average of moving-average arnings and current real price, with between two thirds and three fourths of the weight on the earnings measure...

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References [1] F. Black and P. Karasinski, Bond and option pricing when short-term rates are lognormal, Financial Analysts Journal, Vol. 47, No. 4, 52-59, 1991. [2] F. Black and M. Scholes, The pricing of options and corporate liabilities, Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 81, 637-654, 1973. [3] J. C. Cox, J. E. Ingersoll, and S.A. Ross, An intertemporal general equilibrium model of asset pric...

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Corporate Finance

سال: 2020

ISSN: 0929-1199

DOI: 10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2020.101660